Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Key Swing State Polls: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks at a Labor Day event at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan, September 2, 2024.

Vice President Kamala Harris leads or is tied with Trump in all but one of the six states likely to decide the election, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll, though significant shares of likely voters in each state are undecided, indicating the race could shift by election day.

Wisconsin: Harris has her most sizable lead here, 50% to 44% (though 14% of voters say they could change their minds), expanding the two-point advantage she held here in July’s Bloomberg poll.

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Pennsylvania: Harris and Trump are tied here, each with 47%, with 15% of voters open to changing their minds—a swing in Harris’ favor from July, when Trump was leading by four points in the Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey.

Georgia: Harris is up by one point here, 48% to 47%, well within the 4.7-point margin of error, while 11% of likely voters surveyed suggested they could change their minds (she and Trump were tied here in July with 47% support each in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll).

Nevada: Another state with no clear leader, Harris leads by one point, 48% to 47%, and 13% of respondents told CNN/SSRS they’re not firmly committed to the candidates they prefer now, a slight decline from Harris’ two-point lead here in the July survey.

Michigan: Harris is up five points here, 48% to 43%, with 15% of respondents saying they might change their minds, a narrower lead than the 11-point advantage she held here in the July Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey.

Wisconsin: Harris has her most sizable lead here, 50% to 44% (though 14% of voters say they could change their minds), expanding the two-point advantage she held here in July’s Bloomberg poll.